Study finds climate change could increase the frequency of major hurricanes, typhoons in 2050

Saturday, May 21, 2022
author picture Ethan Guerin
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Climate Change and Hurricanes and Typhoons

A new study in Science Advances predicts that the number of hurricanes and typhoons in the world may double by 2050. That is‚ if global sea levels continue to rise‚ the intensity of Category 3 tropical cyclones could rise 20 percent by that time. The increased intensity of the storms would result in more deaths and damage‚ and even higher wind speeds.

A new study has concluded that climate change could lead to a doubled number of Category 3 and above hurricanes and typhoons by 2050. The study was done using computer modeling and published on Wednesday. Science advances according to a study‚ more people will be affected by the increasing number of severe hurricanes and typhoons as the global temperature continues to rise from excess greenhouse gas emission. The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale Typhoons and hurricanes are assigned a numerical value. Categor 3 storms have sustained winds exceeding 111 miles an hour. Category 4 storms have sustained winds at 130 mph and Category 5 storms are capable of sustained winds up to 157 mph. The new study shows that climate change could increase wind speed of major hurricanes up to 20%‚ and the frequency of Category 4/5 storms in certain parts of the globe by more than 2009. The results show that even areas with a low (very) risk of being affected by tropical cyclones due to climate change. This is Nadia Bloemendaal from the University of Amsterdam‚ who was also the lead author of the study. Told CNN. It was shocking to observe the high number of countries in developing nations at greatest risk from future climate change. In areas already experiencing tropical cyclone activity‚ the predicted rise in major hurricanes or typhoons does not spread evenly. The study showed that while Miami will see an increase in the probability of experiencing major hurricanes in any given year‚ it is not as dramatic as Honolulu (from 3.6% now to 4.0% in 2050)‚ which is more than twice the rate for Honolulu (from 4.0% and 8.6% in the same time frame). The 2005 Hurricane Katrina total property loss was $108 billion. (Universal History Archive/Universal Images Group via Getty Images). Researchers at Colorado State University released a report earlier this month that predicted another Atlantic hurricane season. This report predicts that at least 19 storms will be named‚ with four becoming major hurricanes of Category 3. According to the report‚ 2022 will see nine hurricanes‚ 19 named storms‚ and 90 hurricane days.

climate change hurricanes and typhoons category 3 tropical cyclones sustained winds wind speeds study finds could increase the frequency of major in 2050

According to the report‚ there is a 135% chance of major U.S. hurricanes hitting land. Numerous studies There has been a strong correlation between warmer ocean waters and stronger tropical cyclones. It is not clear if climate change has increased the intensity of hurricanes or typhoons‚ which is more than the ones that reach major status. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has some notes available on their website. Based on complex modeling‚ noaa suggests an increase with hurricane winds speeds rising by as much as 10%‚ Category 4 and 5 hurricanes are likely. According to NOAA's website‚ warmer sea temperatures are making hurricanes more likely. There is a possibility of hurricanes becoming wetter. A 2 degree Celsius scenario would see 10%-115%. Recent storms such as hurricane harvey in 2017‚ Florence (with more than 35 inches)‚ and Imelda (with 44 inches) demonstrated the destructive floods that these hurricanes can cause.